Historical Analysis
US Equities - Biotechs
We have in our database as of January 1, 2025, 1615 securities that are healthcare related. This means the company was declared in the healthcare sector on that date.
Here were the stats to start the new year.
66 securities were tradable warrants so removing them (and other 5 letter tickers as they are illiquid) leaves us with 1449 securities that are US-based stock. Of these, we need to ignore one because it screws everything up: Odonate, Inc. (OTC:$ODTC) which Kevin Tang had reverse split to a price of $136,400.00 in order to force everyone out.
I have rather arbitrarily set a lower limit of ten cents to remove nano-caps and trips leaving us with 1249. Of these 863 securities would still have been classified as “penny stocks” by the modern definition of any security, exchange-lister or OTC, trading under $5.00.
Of those 1249, 880 (70%) are down on the year. I think we all know what those stocks are. This analysis is to today’s closing price only. The mean return for these stocks is -12%. The mean return for the “penny stock” subset is -13%.
Let’s look at the ones that are up.
Dominari Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:$DOMH) a stock that took off because Eric Trump and Donald J. Trump Jr got involved and which has just sold off steadily since the news.
Dogwood Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:$DWTX) (which our system can not chart because of missing data from the SEC). This stock is up because of Li Ka-shing. He is like the Donald Trump of Hong Kong.
The first “runner” not directly related to a billionaire manipulator is Neuronetics (NASDAQ:$STIM) which was on model in the channel for most of last year. Historical chart provided below.
CervoMed (NASDAQ:$CRVO) which just moved recently from below the channel to just above the channel.
NewGenIvf Group Limited (NASDAQ:$NIVF) a recent RS compliance trade.
Chimerix (NASDAQ:$CMRX) which was another channel play that continued.
Cumberland Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:$CPIX) which also was a channel play. Historical chart below.
With the exception of the three pump and dumps all of these stocks were on model.
As always, if you think there are spelling errors update your dictionary to the latest version. Happy speculation!
— AJ
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