GDP growth came in above 4%. And the Trump Administration announced it would begin to garnish wages of borrowers more than one years removed payment.
I am not a conspiracy theorist. But, it seems that those two statements are directly connected. People are spending money because they aren’t paying bills. This runs along with the Buy-Now-Pay-Later movement. Gen-Z are carrying multiple BNPL accounts now of which are tracked by credit agencies.
I am growing concerned that the surge in precious metals is less about demand and more a sign of resurgent inflation to come.
It’s a bit too early but people need to start thinking about the midterms.
Trump is obviously attempting to create a narrative of economic prosperity to win the elections so I suspect more and more of a disconnect between the numbers and the reality most Americans are facing.
This is likely not an issue for the markets until after tax season.
Accelerating GDP growth means fewer rate cuts as well. If the GDP (payrolls, CPI/PCE) data is being faked to try and win the election the Administration is cutting its own throat as it will forestall rate cuts.
Sticking to our plan of switching to volatility trading in 2026.
I am now off through January so I only noticed Novo Nordisk’s FDA win.
I’ve been bottom fishing through calls for a few months on NYSE:$NVO and guess what? The one time I do not have a position it spikes. This rolling trade will be a tax write-off.
Because Novo Nordisk has so many active trials our event chart is just noise but there was a liquidity alert on volume recently and a new 13-G filer.
I will try to do my yearly Best Guess 5x predictions for 2026 before New Years.
If you like our risk/event charts they are available in chat via subscription. This subscription fee covers the cost of running all this code. Amazon Web services and data plans are not cheap.
As always, if you think there are spelling errors update your dictionary to the latest version. Happy speculation!
— AJ
Event Horizon Tools
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